McIntosh's Law

Everybody knows about Murphy's Law and its hundreds of derivatives, corollaries, etc.

    Murphy's Law:
        If something can go wrong, it will.

                (the most common variation?)

Later came Hofstadter's Law, not as well known.

    Hofstadter's Law:
        It always takes longer than you expect, even when you take into account Hofstadter's Law.

                ("Godel, Escher, Bach: An Eternal Golden Braid" page 152)

Both laws are clearly correct, as far as they go (and that's a long ways), and were inspiring, but . . .

Eventually (about 1985), after longer than you would expect, and after lots of things going wrong, McIntosh's Law became obvious, as the unification and generalization of the two.

    McIntosh's Law:
        Whatever goes wrong will be worse than you expect, even when you take into account McIntosh's Law.

Later I realized that's too mild. Better, stronger versions would be:

    McIntosh's Law (stronger form):
        Whatever goes wrong will be worse than anybody expects, even when they take into account McIntosh's Law.

    McIntosh's Law (even stronger form):
        Whatever goes wrong will be worse than anybody could possibly expect, even when they take into account McIntosh's Law.

Both more complete, but I still prefer the original.

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